Monday, November 15, 2010

Day Trading Stocks....

Day trading stock can be a great way to make profits in today’s market.
The concept is simple: You enter a stock position at or after the open of the day and you exit the same stock position at or before the close of the day.
Stock selection is important in day trading stock because the time frame in which you can profit is much shorter that in medium and long-term trading strategies.
Stocks that have a large range during the day are preferable. This simple logic is that the more a stock moves during the day the greater potential a trader has for profit during the day. Profits can be made day trading stock with smaller intraday ranges. Remember, thought the smaller the intraday range the more shares you must trade to make a profit.

Let’s look at an example Stock A has an average intraday range of 5 points and Stock B has an average intraday range of 1 point. Assuming a perfect day trading stock execution in each stock you would have to trade 5 times as many shares of Stock B to equal the profit of of Stock A. Also consider that with the number of shares traded commissions costs will also rise.
Commissions costs will logically rise in some instances when day trading stock because the more frequently you trade the higher your commission costs will be. Obviously if you trade 10 times a day every day your commission costs will be higher than if you traded the same number of shares once per week.
One of the characteristics of day trading stock that traders like the most is that there is no overnight risk. When you close your positions for the day that’s it. Your positions won’t be affected by any bad news or earth-shattering events.
Many traders prefer this method of trading because they say it lets them sleep at night.

November ... Historically for the markets ...

How has November been historically for the Markets?




November has been a positive month for equity markets. The high has always been in positive terms. Max of 15 pc, min 2 pc and average of 8.8 pc. This gives us probable targets of (6920, 6139 and 6547)
The low points have varied from -13 pc to 0.21 pc. We can exclude -13 pc because we were in the midst of a bear market. Average has -2.8 pc giving us a potential low of 5845.
The close has been positive 8 times out of 10. Average close has 5.6 % higher than October. This gives us a target of 6355.
So now we have a potential low of 5845, high ranging from (6139, 6547, 6920) and a potential close of 6355.
It is a buy on dips market totally. Most money is made or lost in the last leg of bull market. Euphoria is needed for bull market to end. Coal India and Obama may give this much needed last fast rally.
The Bollinger Bands on a weekly basis give us a target of 6420.



The monthly Bollinger band gives us an overbought picture last seen in Jan 2008. This gives us the possibility of a crash sooner or later.


Based on current evidence at disposal, recommendation is to be long with trailing stop losses as given in Daily Levels. Also, no writing of puts. Either buy calls or write calls.
Targets of 6422, 6547, 6920 are on the cards. On the lower side, 5540, 6017, 6142 are stop losses for longs.

I had done this analysis last week but forgotten to upload it. Taking this week into factor, keep 6000 as key level.Below 6000 down we go.

Life's Too Short....













Extraordinary Life ...